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	<title>Comments on: I&#8217;m a Venture Optimist</title>
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		<title>By: RFEng</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10794</link>
		<dc:creator>RFEng</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Feb 2009 16:19:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10794</guid>
		<description>Retirement.  An interesting concept for a 43-year-old who has no monetary need for work.  Looking 20 years into the future is inherently a murky process, but I would ask how your &quot;retirement&quot; looks different than your life today.  You do work you enjoy, are around people you enjoy, nestled in some of the most beautiful places on earth.  I am somewhat younger (I&#039;m 34) but am in a similar financial and working situation to yourself, and I rather envisioned myself going to meet my maker &quot;with my boots on&quot;.  I need the work and the social interaction to feel &quot;alive&quot;.  It sounds to me like you do too.  So what, then, is retirement for you? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Retirement.  An interesting concept for a 43-year-old who has no monetary need for work.  Looking 20 years into the future is inherently a murky process, but I would ask how your &quot;retirement&quot; looks different than your life today.  You do work you enjoy, are around people you enjoy, nestled in some of the most beautiful places on earth.  I am somewhat younger (I&#039;m 34) but am in a similar financial and working situation to yourself, and I rather envisioned myself going to meet my maker &quot;with my boots on&quot;.  I need the work and the social interaction to feel &quot;alive&quot;.  It sounds to me like you do too.  So what, then, is retirement for you?</p>
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		<title>By: Brad Feld</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10707</link>
		<dc:creator>Brad Feld</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jan 2009 04:16:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10707</guid>
		<description>1.  I don’t really have a view on the “VC space” as a whole.  It’s well known that the  aggregate performance of a “set of similar investors” is not particularly well  correlated with individual investor success.  My investors are investing in the  team I’m part of, not the market.  So – all they care about (and all I really  care about) is our performance.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;2.  Your assumption that the IPO market will be closed for the foreseeable future  is one I have no way to validate or refute until time passes.  Furthermore – I’ve  never depended on an IPO market for my investing success ever since I started  investing in 1994.  Sure – IPOs have certainly contributed, but I’ve actually  been very successful with M&amp;A outcomes (and in many cases prefer them.)  I  definitely do not agree that “No IPO market = No VC market.”  Whether the VC  market should be smaller (or larger) is something that will resolve itself independent  of any of our viewpoints.&lt;br /&gt; </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>1.  I don’t really have a view on the “VC space” as a whole.  It’s well known that the  aggregate performance of a “set of similar investors” is not particularly well  correlated with individual investor success.  My investors are investing in the  team I’m part of, not the market.  So – all they care about (and all I really  care about) is our performance.</p>
<p>2.  Your assumption that the IPO market will be closed for the foreseeable future  is one I have no way to validate or refute until time passes.  Furthermore – I’ve  never depended on an IPO market for my investing success ever since I started  investing in 1994.  Sure – IPOs have certainly contributed, but I’ve actually  been very successful with M&#038;A outcomes (and in many cases prefer them.)  I  definitely do not agree that “No IPO market = No VC market.”  Whether the VC  market should be smaller (or larger) is something that will resolve itself independent  of any of our viewpoints.</p>
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		<title>By: Enough Kool Aid</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10705</link>
		<dc:creator>Enough Kool Aid</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jan 2009 02:47:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10705</guid>
		<description>Yes but what I am saying is:  
 
1) If you consider all your entire funds gains AND losses or look at the VC space as a whole, does VC beat the market over the last 10 and 20 years AND provide a return that would be acceptable for the risk (i.e. &gt; 7 or 8%)? I think you will find that it doesn&#039;t. 
 
2) Since the IPO market has been closed for most of this decade and will continue to be closed for the forseeable future I don&#039;t expect VC to thrive in this environment.  
 
Wouldn&#039;t you agree that No IPO market = No VC market or at least a much much smaller one?  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes but what I am saying is:  </p>
<p>1) If you consider all your entire funds gains AND losses or look at the VC space as a whole, does VC beat the market over the last 10 and 20 years AND provide a return that would be acceptable for the risk (i.e. &gt; 7 or 8%)? I think you will find that it doesn&#039;t. </p>
<p>2) Since the IPO market has been closed for most of this decade and will continue to be closed for the forseeable future I don&#039;t expect VC to thrive in this environment.  </p>
<p>Wouldn&#039;t you agree that No IPO market = No VC market or at least a much much smaller one?</p>
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		<title>By: Brad Feld</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10697</link>
		<dc:creator>Brad Feld</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 22:01:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10697</guid>
		<description>According  to Wikipedia the 10 year annualized return of the S&amp;P is -1.38% (&lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&amp;P_500)&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&amp;P_500)&lt;/a&gt; and moneychip’s S&amp;P calculator calculates 1/1/00 – 12/31/08 as CAGR of -3.31%  since 1/1/00 ($1 turned into $0.61).  If this is the benchmark you are using,  my track record is substantially better than that. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Your  assumption that acquisitions don’t really pay all that well is incorrect. On a  cash on cash multiple, I can point to a number of acquisitions I’ve  participated in since 2000 that returned 10x or more, including one that has returned  over 50x at this point.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But  yes, I agree with the assertion that “my job as a VC is to provide higher  returns to my investors for higher risk.”   I thought I said this in my post  where I said “My “job” – in its most crass form - is simple – take a box of  money and turn it into a much bigger box of money” but I guess I wasn’t explicit  enough.&lt;br /&gt; </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According  to Wikipedia the 10 year annualized return of the S&#038;P is -1.38% (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&#038;P_500)" target="_blank">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&#038;P_500)</a> and moneychip’s S&#038;P calculator calculates 1/1/00 – 12/31/08 as CAGR of -3.31%  since 1/1/00 ($1 turned into $0.61).  If this is the benchmark you are using,  my track record is substantially better than that. </p>
<p>Your  assumption that acquisitions don’t really pay all that well is incorrect. On a  cash on cash multiple, I can point to a number of acquisitions I’ve  participated in since 2000 that returned 10x or more, including one that has returned  over 50x at this point.</p>
<p>But  yes, I agree with the assertion that “my job as a VC is to provide higher  returns to my investors for higher risk.”   I thought I said this in my post  where I said “My “job” – in its most crass form &#8211; is simple – take a box of  money and turn it into a much bigger box of money” but I guess I wasn’t explicit  enough.</p>
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		<title>By: Enough Kool Aid</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10696</link>
		<dc:creator>Enough Kool Aid</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 21:42:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10696</guid>
		<description>Brad, what exactly is your track record? Have you beat the S&amp;P since 2000? I doubt it since acquisitions don&#039;t really pay all that well and the IPO market has been completely shut down for most of this decade.  
 
That IS your job as a VC to provide higher returns to your investors for higher risk. It is not to feel good about what you do every day, no one cares about that. I mean institutional money is great cause its dumb and never asks any questions, but at the end of the day all that matters is are you beating the market and providing your investors with a return that commensurates with a higher level of risk?  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brad, what exactly is your track record? Have you beat the S&amp;P since 2000? I doubt it since acquisitions don&#039;t really pay all that well and the IPO market has been completely shut down for most of this decade.  </p>
<p>That IS your job as a VC to provide higher returns to your investors for higher risk. It is not to feel good about what you do every day, no one cares about that. I mean institutional money is great cause its dumb and never asks any questions, but at the end of the day all that matters is are you beating the market and providing your investors with a return that commensurates with a higher level of risk?</p>
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		<title>By: scott</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10681</link>
		<dc:creator>scott</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 06:28:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10681</guid>
		<description>Check out this video. Venture capital in 2009: &lt;a href=&quot;http://scottdig.com/?p=444&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;http://scottdig.com/?p=444&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Check out this video. Venture capital in 2009: <a href="http://scottdig.com/?p=444" target="_blank">http://scottdig.com/?p=444</a></p>
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		<title>By: Derek Scruggs</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10664</link>
		<dc:creator>Derek Scruggs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 17:16:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10664</guid>
		<description>I assume you would prefer the opportunity not to work at all? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I assume you would prefer the opportunity not to work at all?</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Harris</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10663</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Harris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 17:12:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10663</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve been in the VC business for 30 years and I agree wholeheartedly with Brad .  Those of us lucky enough to have found and prosper in this arena have truly won the &quot;ovarian lottery.&quot;  Cycles are common in the private equity arena .  The VC world is only for those who look ahead and are comfortable with delayed rewards (both monetary &amp;  psychic) .  Those expecting reliable, ever increasing,  and immediate rewards tend to exit in times like this, as they should.   
I respect and am humbled by the entrepreneur&#039;s role in our productive and dynamic business creation mechanism.  But , I also take pride in our participation as the best asset allocation and support mechanism ever developed to assist them.  To &quot;Skilled and Jobless&quot;:  few of those &quot;at the top of the food chain&quot; (your words) think that life is easy for everyone; but the VC sector is not capable of making every venture succeed.  When they don&#039;t succeed, do you think  it&#039;s reasonable to blame the VC community? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#039;ve been in the VC business for 30 years and I agree wholeheartedly with Brad .  Those of us lucky enough to have found and prosper in this arena have truly won the &quot;ovarian lottery.&quot;  Cycles are common in the private equity arena .  The VC world is only for those who look ahead and are comfortable with delayed rewards (both monetary &amp;  psychic) .  Those expecting reliable, ever increasing,  and immediate rewards tend to exit in times like this, as they should.<br />
I respect and am humbled by the entrepreneur&#039;s role in our productive and dynamic business creation mechanism.  But , I also take pride in our participation as the best asset allocation and support mechanism ever developed to assist them.  To &quot;Skilled and Jobless&quot;:  few of those &quot;at the top of the food chain&quot; (your words) think that life is easy for everyone; but the VC sector is not capable of making every venture succeed.  When they don&#039;t succeed, do you think  it&#039;s reasonable to blame the VC community?</p>
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		<title>By: markslater</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10662</link>
		<dc:creator>markslater</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 16:59:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10662</guid>
		<description>come on. i am not a VC but this is mindless bluster. what this post actually said is that with a bit of luck some of the more &#039;financially engineered&#039; folks in his industry will drop off.  
 
but whats wrong with working hard? whats wrong with your partner and you profiting from your hard work? whats wrong with both parties paying a collective penalty for failing? (alot actually!) 
 
what always amuses me is when entrepreneurs take the attitude like you do in hard times. do you think for a moment that a VC in any way benefits from layoffs, bad management and foolish spending? his work on the company likely triples, his value probably halves, and his friction increases.  
 </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>come on. i am not a VC but this is mindless bluster. what this post actually said is that with a bit of luck some of the more &#039;financially engineered&#039; folks in his industry will drop off.  </p>
<p>but whats wrong with working hard? whats wrong with your partner and you profiting from your hard work? whats wrong with both parties paying a collective penalty for failing? (alot actually!) </p>
<p>what always amuses me is when entrepreneurs take the attitude like you do in hard times. do you think for a moment that a VC in any way benefits from layoffs, bad management and foolish spending? his work on the company likely triples, his value probably halves, and his friction increases.</p>
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		<title>By: markslater</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10659</link>
		<dc:creator>markslater</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 16:32:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10659</guid>
		<description>fred wilson (actually his partner to be fair) was waxing about arbitrage - the reason you are somewhat imune to current events is that you are not a primary participant in this arbitrage destruction. You actually create value (theoretically) you are not trading the delta between tow value points of equal characteristic. Venture is a great place to be. Especially if you love it as you clearly do. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>fred wilson (actually his partner to be fair) was waxing about arbitrage &#8211; the reason you are somewhat imune to current events is that you are not a primary participant in this arbitrage destruction. You actually create value (theoretically) you are not trading the delta between tow value points of equal characteristic. Venture is a great place to be. Especially if you love it as you clearly do.</p>
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		<title>By: markslater</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10658</link>
		<dc:creator>markslater</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 16:31:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10658</guid>
		<description>fred wilson was waxing about arbitrage - the reason you are somewhat imune to current events is that you are not a primary participant in this arbitrage destruction. You actually create value (theoretically) you are not trading the delta between tow value points of equal characteristic. Venture is a great place to be. Especially if you love it as you clearly do. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>fred wilson was waxing about arbitrage &#8211; the reason you are somewhat imune to current events is that you are not a primary participant in this arbitrage destruction. You actually create value (theoretically) you are not trading the delta between tow value points of equal characteristic. Venture is a great place to be. Especially if you love it as you clearly do.</p>
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		<title>By: Skilled and Jobless</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10653</link>
		<dc:creator>Skilled and Jobless</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 14:39:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10653</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s amazing how those at the top of the food chain always think things are always great, and that life is easy for everyone. 
 
Force layoffs at one of your &quot;Angel Investments&quot; due to a horrible business plan and foolish spending by the executives?   Of course, it&#039;s just good business. 
 
VCs don&#039;t create anything but the opportunity for other people to work hard, (as long as the VC has a very good chance of profiting handsomely and excessively from the hard work of others). </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#039;s amazing how those at the top of the food chain always think things are always great, and that life is easy for everyone. </p>
<p>Force layoffs at one of your &quot;Angel Investments&quot; due to a horrible business plan and foolish spending by the executives?   Of course, it&#039;s just good business. </p>
<p>VCs don&#039;t create anything but the opportunity for other people to work hard, (as long as the VC has a very good chance of profiting handsomely and excessively from the hard work of others).</p>
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		<title>By: Elliott_Garlock</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10644</link>
		<dc:creator>Elliott_Garlock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 02:37:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10644</guid>
		<description>Love the optimism.  Too many are wrongly bearish on America.  Thanks for leading thought in the opposite (and correct) direction.   
 
ps. We&#039;ve never met.  @brjackson introduced me to your blog.  I&#039;ve learned a lot from poking around your archives, and love the nuggets of wisdom littered throughout. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Love the optimism.  Too many are wrongly bearish on America.  Thanks for leading thought in the opposite (and correct) direction.   </p>
<p>ps. We&#039;ve never met.  @brjackson introduced me to your blog.  I&#039;ve learned a lot from poking around your archives, and love the nuggets of wisdom littered throughout.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian_</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10640</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian_</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 01:28:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10640</guid>
		<description>Brad - i wholeheartedly agree.  Go long the USA!   </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brad &#8211; i wholeheartedly agree.  Go long the USA!</p>
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		<title>By: Venture Optimism &#171; Andrew Grumet&#8217;s Weblog</title>
		<link>http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html/comment-page-1#comment-10629</link>
		<dc:creator>Venture Optimism &#171; Andrew Grumet&#8217;s Weblog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jan 2009 20:52:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/01/im-a-venture-optimist.html#comment-10629</guid>
		<description>[...] Brad Feld on being a venture optimist: &#8220;Fewer VCs? Fine – that just means that the people that stay with the business believe in it, are good at it &#8230; and all the people that become VCs to simply &#8216;manage assets and make money&#8217; will disappear over time.&#8221; [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Brad Feld on being a venture optimist: &#8220;Fewer VCs? Fine – that just means that the people that stay with the business believe in it, are good at it &#8230; and all the people that become VCs to simply &#8216;manage assets and make money&#8217; will disappear over time.&#8221; [...]</p>
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